Exercise Scenario Development Plan and Method for the Quantitative Assessment of Force-on-Force Exercise

Minho Kang, Ji-Hwan Cha, and Wooseub Kim

Korea Institute of Nuclear Nonproliferation and Control, Korea

Abstract: Today, countries around the world are at risk of terrorism, especially after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks in the United States. The IAEA revised the INFCIRC/225/Rev.5 in 2011 to establish the nuclear security program and provide recommendations and guidelines for member states to establish, implement and maintain their physical protection systems. INFCIRC/225/Rev.5 recommends that appropriate exercise be conducted, such as a Force-on-Force exercise, to determine whether an unauthorized removal of nuclear material in use and storage and an effective and timely response to sabotage are possible. In practice exercise, it is necessary to simulate various threat situations that may occur and to develop practical exercise scenarios that can improve the response capability of nuclear power operators. After the exercise is completed, it is necessary to develop a systematic exercise evaluation methodology that can quantitatively evaluate the result of exercise and identify the enhancements. In this study, development plan of various exercise scenarios considering the characteristics of each nuclear facility are introduced to improve the efficiency of the Force-on-Force exercise, and we will present an objective and systematic exercise evaluation methodology based on collected data from exercise evaluation system developed by KINAC (Korea Institute of Nonproliferation and Control). The location information of the exercise participants, the engaging information, intrusion pathway and the route of the intruders and response forces from the exercise evaluation system are collected in real time, and the result of the combination of this information is derived. Through this, it is possible to strengthen the protection capability of nuclear facilities by identifying weaknesses of protection in their facilities and reinforcing the protection element and efficiently deploying the security forces.

Key words: force-on-force exercise, quantitative assessment, exercise scenario development plan