What Modelling Approach for the Time-space Consideration in Modal Choice Analysis of a Sustainable Alternative Mode?

Ndayishimiye Juste
(University of Nice Sophia Antipolis, France)

Abstract: This article aimed to detect space-time consideration in currently methods and model used in modal choice between Motorways of the Sea (MoS) in competition with other terrestrial mode. In reference to the existent literature in modal choice model and time geography theory, the spatial model developed in this work includes in its first part an evaluation of the spatial potential that represent the fundamental factors in international freight exchange. The second part regards the modal choice with an aggregate binomial logit model which generalized cost equation to the internalizing marginal external cost expressing the environmental impacts of freight traffic. The originality and effectiveness of this model is to enhance the existing prospect models in spatial interactions and space-time consideration in their methodology. The expected results shall specify the spatial changes of the main systems in the organization and restructuration of transport flow at a long time horizon. Measurement of spatial accessibility of the offered services by road and MoS modes and, the reduction in environmental impacts will be studied in a spatio-temporal dimension.

Key words: sustainable transport; motorway of the sea; road; modal choice; spatial model

JEL code: F1